Charlottesville’s Real Estate Blog since 2005.

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Friday

Is This The New Normal in the Charlottesville Real Estate Market?

I’ve been wondering for a long time what the new normal in the Charlottesville* real estate market is going to look like over the next few years. Today’s is a post posing a question rather than positing an answer.

Transactional Volume for Charlottesville MSA - 1999 versus 2010
Transactional Volume for Charlottesville MSA - 1999 versus 2010

Prices aside, is this volume the “new normal” for the Charlottesville market?

What are the impacts on the market, the number of agents (answer: very little – the Charlottesville Area Realtor Association is poised to lose but a handful of Realtors next year, out of about 1,000, a relatively small percentage of whom are productive ), the number of productive Realtors, the number of brokerages. The number of Realtors nationwide may be forecast to drop (archived: 2015), but I don’t see that happening.

Of course, the predictions that the number of Realtors will drop have been ongoing.

Another question – what will the net migration trend be? The Charlottesville MSA added about 13,467 people via net migration from April 1 2000 to July 1 2009. Source: Weldon Cooper Center (archived: 2017).

I’m not through sorting out what the data means, but I’m still trying.

*Defined as Charlottesville, Albemarle, Fluvanna, Greene, Nelson. While Louisa County is now more a part of our market, it wasn’t in the reference year (2000)

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I have been been representing buyers and sellers in Charlottesville, Albemarle, and Central Virginia since 2001. Get local insight born of experience.

Dig Deeper

There Is NO “National” Housing Market

I haven't done a Friday Chart in a while, but this struck me: This is a chart showing the inventory for Scripps Ranch in San Diego, courtesy of one of the best writers I know, Kris Berg. Contrast the above chart with the one for…

Friday Chart – Where are We *Right Now*?

For your review: The Nest Report for January 2011 (pdf) covering the Charlottesville Extended MSA (EMSA)* * EMSA = Charlottesville, Albemarle, Nelson, Louisa, Greene, Fluvanna (more…)

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