Charlottesville’s Real Estate Blog since 2005.

Clear, Honest Market Analysis. For People, Not Realtors.

General Real Estate

Impossible to Predict the Charlottesville Real Estate Market

If you have been reading RealCentralVA for a while, or we’ve talked in person you know that I have been saying for a while that we don’t know what the market is doing and we don’t know what we don’t know.

I was a bit comforted to read that Robert Shiller, the “Shiller” in “Case Shiller” believes the same thing, whether he’s predicting that the (national) housing market is going to get better or worse.

“Statisticians deal with things that repeat themselves. This housing boom and bust is so historic and unprecedented, you can’t forecast the future because you have no comparison.”

The Charlottesville market could be bottoming, could have bottomed or could have a ways to go. We’re all in uncharted territory.

** John Maudlin ponders whether it might be time to buy a house.

*** Anyone who says definitively or conclusively that the market is X is either (in my opinion) not being honest with you or themselves, selling you something, or doesn’t know the market.

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I have been been representing buyers and sellers in Charlottesville, Albemarle, and Central Virginia since 2001. Get local insight born of experience.

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My goal is simple: help my clients – buyers or sellers – make good decisions.