I’ve written a lot, looked at a lot, and analyzed a lot. Over the past two days, I have looked at real estate market data specific to the Charlottesville MSA for nearly six hours (and I still have quite a bit yet to come, including updated median sales price numbers).* I’ve written thousands of words, and thought that a summary post may be useful.
Even this real estate analysis is too broad; to really know what’s happening, you (and I) need to study the market segment relevant to you. Every segment is different and unique.
– Single family homes in Charlottesville MSA: sales up 1.5%, median sales price down 4%
– Attached homes in Charlottesville MSA: sales down 16%, median sales price down 3%
– Condos in Charlottesville MSA: sales down 17%, median sales price down 3.5%
If you’re thinking about buying a home in Charlottesville:
– Do your research.
– Look at the national data: Case Shiller, Fiserv, Core Logic, Census Bureau in context.
– Make sure you’re buying smart and for the right reasons
– Understand that you’re buying a home – a place to live, raise a family (if that’s your intent), somewhere to ensure stability for your family.
– If you’re an investor, be cash-heavy.
If you’re thinking about selling your home in the Charlottesville area:
1) I need to make X in order to pay off my mortgage
2) I need to sell my home for X so that I can buy this other house
3) My neighbor’s house sold 13 months ago for $512k, so I should be able to sell my home for $________ (it doesn’t matter what their home sold for 13 months ago; what matters is what your active competition is. I wrote this over four years ago, and the commentary is true today: Sold Comps now Matter Less.
4) Get your home ready for the market. If you’re not going to actively fight and compete
If you’re a glutton, bored or interested in what’s been happening the Charlottesville real estate market over the past few years, spend some time poking around the Market Statistics category.
From January 2011:
From August 2010:
From December 2006:
Are We Tracking the Market Too Closely? – note how my advice has changed from “three to five year decision” then to “five to seven” now.
* I hope you understand that these are my opinions only, and not intended to spin the data in any way shape or form. I’ve used this venue since January 2005 as an outlet for my analysis to help me figure out how best to advise and serve my clients. Your commentary and opinions are welcome (and I hope you appreciate how much time has gone into this 🙂 )